Preview Mode Links will not work in preview mode

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

We talk economics and markets with leading investors. Start your FREE 30-day trial today for the latest macro & financial market analysis from 50+ researchers:

Jan 29, 2021

Jon is the author of the widely followed Cheap Convexity blog and always has excellent insights on Fed policy, rates markets and the dollar. In this podcast, we discuss:

  1. How to think about the Fed’s new framework.
  2. The rates trade that captures this shift – the Brainard steepener!
  3. Why a taper tantrum is less likely this time.
  4. Why the ECB could be more comfortable with euro strength.
  5. How the Georgia senate elections complicated the weak dollar trade.
  6. Why precious metals may struggle even with low rates.
  7. Why technical issues around the Fed balance sheet are overstated.
  8. Are equities expensive?
  9. Will US/Euro rates divergence trades work?
  10. Books that influenced Jon: Trade Wars Are Class Wars (Klein, Pettis), Market Wizards (Schwager) and More Money Than God (Mallaby).